{"id":218,"date":"2006-11-20T17:27:11","date_gmt":"2006-11-20T17:27:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/scientopia.org\/blogs\/goodmath\/2006\/11\/20\/shrinking-sun-part-2\/"},"modified":"2006-11-20T17:27:11","modified_gmt":"2006-11-20T17:27:11","slug":"shrinking-sun-part-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/2006\/11\/20\/shrinking-sun-part-2\/","title":{"rendered":"Shrinking Sun (Part 2)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>So, as promised, it&#8217;s time for part two of &#8220;The Creationists and the Shrinking Sun&#8221;.<br \/>\nThe second main tack of the creationists and the shrinking sun is to *not* use the bare<br \/>\nmeasurements of an allegedly shrinking sun as their evidence. Instead, they use it as<br \/>\nevidence for a very peculiar theory. It&#8217;s an interesting approach for a couple of reasons: it<br \/>\nactually *proposes a theory* (a bad theory, but hey, at least it&#8217;s a theory!); it uses some recent theories and observations as evidence; and it casts the whole concept of how the sun works as part of an elaborate conspiracy to prop up evolution.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><br \/>\nSo let&#8217;s take a look at the argument. Here&#8217;s a typical version of it from from [creationism.org](http:\/\/www.creationism.org\/ackerman\/AckermanYoungWorldChap06.htm).<br \/>\n&gt;What causes the sun to shine? Prior to the rise of Darwin&#8217;s evolution theory, the great<br \/>\n&gt;nineteenth-century scientist Hermann von Helmholtz proposed a simple and effective model&#8211;<br \/>\n&gt;gravitational collapse. The only problem with the concept was that it would not allow anything<br \/>\n&gt;approaching the vast amounts of time demanded by the theory of evolution. If the sun produced its<br \/>\n&gt;energy by gravitational collapse, the sun could last no longer than a few million years, and for<br \/>\n&gt;evolution to have even a ghost of a chance much more time is required.<br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;Around the turn of the century, the famous scientist Lord Kelvin created difficulties for<br \/>\n&gt;evolutionists by presenting a number of powerful arguments against the long ages needed by their<br \/>\n&gt;theory. In a widely heralded debate with the famous evolutionist Thomas Huxley, Lord Kelvin tore the<br \/>\n&gt;evolutionists&#8217; position to shreds with simple and straightforward physical arguments that the earth<br \/>\n&gt;and solar system were not old enough for life to have arisen by Darwin&#8217;s proposed evolutionary<br \/>\n&gt;process. Among Lord Kelvin&#8217;s arguments on the age issue was the time factor for the sun&#8217;s survival<br \/>\n&gt;based upon Helmholtz&#8217;s accepted model of gravitational collapse. Lord Kelvin had the theory of<br \/>\n&gt;evolution on the ropes and had seemingly dealt the knockout blow.<br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;What happened? The discovery of atomic radiation changed the whole picture. Evolutionists suddenly<br \/>\n&gt;took new courage as the phenomenon of atomic radiation seemed to provide the necessary answer to<br \/>\n&gt;Kelvin&#8217;s challenge. With regard to the question of why the sun shines, the gravitational-collapse<br \/>\n&gt;model became unfashionable, and in the 1930s Hans Bethe introduced the currently accepted view that<br \/>\n&gt;thermonuclear fusion in the sun&#8217;s core is the source of its energy.<br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt; <b> Flies in the Ointment<\/b><br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt; <em>Neutrinos<\/em><br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;Although the nuclear-fusion theory of solar burning is widely accepted in scientific circles, it has<br \/>\n&gt;one serious drawback. Unfortunately, a large-scale nuclear-fusion reaction in the sun&#8217;s interior<br \/>\n&gt;would give almost no indication of its existence, and so the concept is difficult to verify<br \/>\n&gt;scientifically. As it turns out, however, there is one very expensive method of verification.<br \/>\n&gt;Princeton astronomer John Bahcall, along with Raymond Davis of the Brookhaven National Laboratory,<br \/>\n&gt;wrote a research report on this work in 1976.1<br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;To &#8220;catch&#8221; neutrinos (particles released during certain nuclear reactions) and verify the<br \/>\n&gt;thermonuclear-fusion theory, a large cavity was dug deep underground in a South Dakota gold mine.<br \/>\n&gt;The necessary apparatus for detecting neutrinos was then constructed. The importance of this<br \/>\n&gt;research in terms of providing necessary testing of the widely accepted general theory of evolution<br \/>\n&gt;cannot be overemphasized. As Bahcall and Davis explain:<br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;One may well ask, why devote so much effort in trying to understand a backyard problem like the<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;sun&#8217;s thermonuclear furnace? . . . The theory of solar energy generation is &#8230; important to the<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;general understanding of stellar evolution. . . .<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;There is a way to directly and quantitatively test the theory of nuclear energy generation in stars<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;like the sun. Of the particles released by the assumed thermonuclear reactions in the solar<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;interior, only one has the ability to penetrate from the center of the sun to the surface and<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;escape into space: the neutrino. Thus neutrinos offer us a unique possibility of &#8220;looking&#8221; into the<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;solar interior. . . . the theory of stellar aging by thermonuclear burning is widely used in<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;interpreting many kinds of astronomical information and is a necessary link in establishing such<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;basic data as the ages of the stars. . . . Thus an experiment designed to capture neutrinos<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;produced by solar thermonuclear reactions is a crucial one for the theory of stellar evolution. &#8230;<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;It is for . . . these reasons . . . that so much effort has been devoted to the solar neutrino<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;problem [emphasis added].2<br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;From a creationist point of view, the results of the neutrino-capture experiments are very exciting,<br \/>\n&gt;for they indicate that the thermonuclear-fusion theory of solar radiation may be entirely wrong. The<br \/>\n&gt;sun is not emitting the necessary neutrinos. In an Associated Press story of March 1980, Kevin<br \/>\n&gt;McKean discusses the impact of the &#8220;case of the missing neutrinos&#8221;:<br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;The neutrino is a particle emitted during certain nuclear reactions, including several of those<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;believed to power the sun. It travels at or near the speed of light, like an invisible ray, and can<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;penetrate miles of very dense matter without striking anything. Trillions of neutrinos from the sun<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;stream through our bodies every second. Because neutrinos can escape from deep within the sun,<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;scientists realized they might be a good way of checking whether the reactions believed to power<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;the sun are really happening. Chemist Ray Davis Jr., of Brookhaven National Laboratory in<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;Brookhaven, N.Y., led a team that set up a neutrino detector nearly a mile underground at the<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;Homestake Gold Mine in Lead, S.D. In nearly a decade of operation the detector has found only<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;one-third the expected number of neutrinos. . . . &#8220;It seems to me that we&#8217;re not even at first<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;base,&#8221; Bahcall says. &#8220;We have just realized we have a ball game and all we know is somebody is out<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;there throwing fastballs at us and we can&#8217;t even see them.&#8221;3<br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;Again quoting from Bahcall and Davis:<br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;For the past 15 years we have tried, in collaboration with many colleagues in astronomy, chemistry,<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;and physics, to understand and test the theory of how the sun produces its radiant energy (observed<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;on the earth as sunlight). All of us have been surprised by the results: there is a large,<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;unexplained disagreement between observation and the supposedly well established theory. This<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;discrepancy has led to a crisis in the theory of stellar evolution; many authors are openly<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;questioning some of the basic principles and approximations in this supposedly dry (and solved)<br \/>\n&gt;&gt;subject.4<br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;<em>Evidence from the Stars<\/em><br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;Failure to find the predicted neutrinos was the most direct and telling of a number of serious flies<br \/>\n&gt;in the ointment of the thermonuclear-fusion theory of solar burning. In a 1975 article, geo- and<br \/>\n&gt;astrophysicist Harold Slusher explained two other difficulties.5<br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;First, the chemical composition of stars should change as they proceed through their supposed<br \/>\n&gt;thermonuclear life cycle. However, observational studies of what should be stars of vastly different<br \/>\n&gt;ages show them all to have roughly the same chemical composition. This presents a real enigma for<br \/>\n&gt;the evolutionary nuclear-process theory.<br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;Second, and equally damaging, is the frequent occurrence of star clusters that are gravitationally<br \/>\n&gt;bound and thus presumably originating at the same time, yet containing stars of vastly different<br \/>\n&gt;ages on the thermonuclear-burn sequence. Some cluster observations are so mind boggling from an<br \/>\n&gt;evolutionist point of view that even if there were not an abundance of other empirical evidences,<br \/>\n&gt;these alone ought to rule out the vast-age concept. The most dramatic is a cluster of four stars in<br \/>\n&gt;the Trapezium of the Orion nebula. These four stars are moving away from a common point at a high<br \/>\n&gt;rate of speed. If the motion of these four stars is projected backward at their present speed, their<br \/>\n&gt;paths lead to a common point of origin only about 10,000 years ago. Yet, according to the accepted<br \/>\n&gt;scheme, the stars in the cluster are vastly older than 10,000 years. Slusher asks, &#8220;If the cluster<br \/>\n&gt;cannot be old, how can the stars be old?&#8221; Indeed, this amazing cluster raises the question of<br \/>\n&gt;whether the creation itself should be considered as older than 10,000 years.<br \/>\nCollapsed down, this version of the argument is: &#8220;The sun doesn&#8217;t really work by fusion, but by gravitational collapse. Evidence for this includes the measured shrinking of the sun (the power comes from gravitational collapse, so it *must* be contracting); the lack of solar neutrinos (the reason the sun isn&#8217;t generating as many neutrinos as standard fusion theory predicts is because there&#8217;s no fusion going on!); and the gravitational structure of certain star clusters.<br \/>\nDo I *really* need to explain what&#8217;s wrong with this? Probably not, but I&#8217;ll do it anyway.<br \/>\nAs I&#8217;ve said before on this blog, good science requires good math; and the worst math is *no* math. The theory that fusion powers the sun is a very careful, well developed theory including very solid math. The math allows the theory to make very precise predictions about what kinds of radiation we should expect from a large scale fusion reaction, including quantities of neutrons and neutrinos. The creationist criticism of the measured neutrino numbers is a demonstration of the *good* quality of the theory.<br \/>\nThe creationist &#8220;gravitational collapse&#8221; model completely lacks any supporting math. It&#8217;s all just words. It&#8217;s easy to say that sun isn&#8217;t powered by fusion, but by something else like &#8220;gravitational collapse&#8221;, or &#8220;electromagnetic z-pinch&#8221; (to mention another awful no-math &#8220;theory&#8221; about the sun). But if you don&#8217;t include any math, you can&#8217;t make any predictions that can *really* be tested. The<br \/>\ncreatonists can *say* &#8220;the number of neutrinos are wrong&#8221;; but they can&#8217;t say *what* number of neutrinos there *should* be according to their theory. They can *say* that &#8220;measurements show that the sun is shrinking, which agrees with the gravitational collapse theory&#8221;, but they can&#8217;t say *what rate* of shrinkage corresponds with the amount of heat coming from the sun.<br \/>\nIn fact, what it really comes down to is that it&#8217;s *not* a theory. Because a theory makes *precise* predictions, and explains the evidence. But the &#8220;gravitational collapse&#8221; thing isn&#8217;t a serious theory. It&#8217;s a masquerade. What they&#8217;re really doing is trying to put together a list of arguments *against* an old earth; but they think that there&#8217;s more credibility to their argument if it&#8217;s<br \/>\npresented as a *positive* argument in favor of a theory with some kind of explanation, rather than a *negative* argument against a theory that most people have never even questioned.<br \/>\nAll of the real &#8220;evidence&#8221; for the gravitational collapse theory are *negative* arguments: the fusion theory predicts X number of neutrinos, but we actually observe only roughly x\/3. The fusion theory supposedly requires gravitationally bound clusters of stars to  have nearly equal ages, but that&#8217;s not what we see. And so on. They never show how any of it *supports* their model; just how it supposedly *doesn&#8217;t* fit the real scientific model.<br \/>\nTo make matters even worse, their criticisms aren&#8217;t even any good. The &#8220;missing solar neutrinos&#8221; thing is typical: it&#8217;s not really a problem, it was *never* a show-stopper for the fusion model of the sun, and it doesn&#8217;t do anything to support their alternative.<br \/>\nFirst, and most important: It doesn&#8217;t support their argument. Just like the &#8220;intelligent design&#8221; gang<br \/>\nspend their time arguing about how evolution can&#8217;t happen, these guys spend their time arguing that<br \/>\nthe old-sun fusion model is wrong, *not* that their model is right. The missing neutrinos *do not*<br \/>\nsupport a gravitational-collapse young-sun explanation. Gravitational collapse absolutely *cannot* explain the observed neutrino flux. *At best*, the missing neutrinos were a problem for the solar fusion model, not a support for the gravitational collapse.<br \/>\nSecond, the problem was never that great to begin with. It was a fascinating problem, certainly. And it took a lot of time and work to figure out what was going on. But it was never a big enough problem to throw away all of the other evidence that supports solar fusion. Only in the bizarre dreams of crazy creationists was this a problem that could kill the idea of an old fusion-driven sun.<br \/>\nFinally, the missing neutrinos problem has been solved.  We know, and have known for a long time<br \/>\nthat there are multiple kinds of neutrinos, called *flavors*; the current theory says that<br \/>\nthere are three flavors: electronic, muon, and tau. [More recent work than what&#8217;s cited<br \/>\nby the creationists shows that neutrinos can oscillate between different flavors.](http:\/\/nobelprize.org\/nobel_prizes\/physics\/articles\/bahcall\/) The fusion model predicts<br \/>\nthat electron neutrinos will be produced; so the detector that was used for the original<br \/>\nexperiments only looked for electron neutrinos. With later work to test for other flavors<br \/>\nof neutrinos, the &#8220;missing&#8221; neutrinos have turned out  not to be missing. The creationist article that I quoted was originally written in 1986, which *was* before the solution to the missing neutrino<br \/>\nproblem was discovered, but numerous creationists continue to quote the article I&#8217;m dissecting, and to claim that the &#8220;missing neutrinos&#8221; are a problem that proves a young earth. (Not to mention that  even by 1986, there were numerous discussions of *possible* solutions to the missing neutrino problem, along with ways of testing them. The real scientists didn&#8217;t just throw  up their hands and say &#8220;A problem we don&#8217;t know the answer to &#8211; we give up, goddidit.&#8221;)<br \/>\nAs a concluding note, the article does have an addendum concerning the discovery of the solution. The addendum was placed on the web in 2002, and makes for a good laugh:<br \/>\n&gt;As forecast in 1986, the issues raised in this chapter have continued to be the focus of much<br \/>\n&gt;scientific research. Relevant developments from a creationist perspective are reported in a 1996<br \/>\n&gt;article, Evidences for a Young Sun, by Keith Davies. Davies summarizes three lines of scientific<br \/>\n&gt;evidence pointing to a young sun. Access this article at:<br \/>\n&gt;http:\/\/www.creation.on.ca\/cdp\/articles\/shrsun.html<br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;More recently, scientists associated with the Sudbury Neutrino Observatory in Canada report that the<br \/>\n&gt;long-sought missing neutrinos, discussed at the beginning of this chapter, have now been found. An<br \/>\n&gt;article on the Sudbury findings was published in the June 19, 2001 New York Times and may be<br \/>\n&gt;accessed at:  http:\/\/dept.physics.upenn.edu\/~geneb\/phys362\/press\/19NEUT.html<br \/>\n&gt;<br \/>\n&gt;The implications of this development for estimates of the sun&#8217;s age and operating mechanism will<br \/>\n&gt;have to await further analysis by scientists who are open to the possibility that the data points to<br \/>\n&gt;a young sun.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>So, as promised, it&#8217;s time for part two of &#8220;The Creationists and the Shrinking Sun&#8221;. The second main tack of the creationists and the shrinking sun is to *not* use the bare measurements of an allegedly shrinking sun as their evidence. Instead, they use it as evidence for a very peculiar theory. It&#8217;s an interesting [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[5,16,21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-218","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bad-physics","category-debunking-creationism","category-fundamentalism"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4lzZS-3w","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/218","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=218"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/218\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=218"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=218"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=218"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}