{"id":621,"date":"2008-04-01T10:55:39","date_gmt":"2008-04-01T10:55:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/scientopia.org\/blogs\/goodmath\/2008\/04\/01\/the-real-murphys-law\/"},"modified":"2008-04-01T10:55:39","modified_gmt":"2008-04-01T10:55:39","slug":"the-real-murphys-law","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/2008\/04\/01\/the-real-murphys-law\/","title":{"rendered":"The Real Murphy&#039;s Law"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"749px-Rocket_sled_track.triddle.jpg\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/scientopia.org\/img-archive\/goodmath\/img_303.jpg?resize=375%2C300\" width=\"375\" height=\"300\" class=\"inset right\" \/><\/p>\n<p> I know better than to attempt to write an april fools day post that really<br \/>\ntries to fool anyone. I&#8217;m not a good enough writer to carry that kind of thing off<br \/>\nin a genuinely amusing way. On the other hand, I love april fools day pranks, and<br \/>\nI generally like the silly mood of the day. So I thought I&#8217;d write some posts in<br \/>\nthe spirit of silliness.<\/p>\n<p> As someone working in engineering, one of my favorite rules is Murphy&#8217;s Law. The thing about Murphy&#8217;s law is that odds are, what you just thought when I said &#8220;Murphy&#8217;s Law&#8221; is not, in fact, Murphy&#8217;s Law.  Odds are, you think that Murphy&#8217;s law says &#8220;If anything can go wrong, it will&#8221;. That&#8217;s not what it says &#8211; Murphy&#8217;s law is almost always stated wrong!<\/p>\n<p> The real Murphy&#8217;s law: <b>If there&#8217;s more than one way to do something,<br \/>\nand one way will result in disaster, then someone <em>will<\/em> do it that way.<\/b><\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p> The real Murphy&#8217;s Law probably wasn&#8217;t even actually created by anyone named Murphy. It dates back to some work done by Colonel John Stapp, a military scientist studying the effects of acceleration on human bodies. <\/p>\n<p> According to the story, Stapp was working with a Major Edward Murphy<br \/>\non acceleration sleds. The idea of the work was basically to set a sled on<br \/>\na track, attach a rocket, stick a chair on top with a test subject (generally Colonel Stapp himself) sitting it in, and launch. A bunch of accelerometers were wired to the sled, so that you&#8217;d know just what a given experiment did to<br \/>\nthe poor Colonel. (The image at the top of this post is a picture of Colonel<br \/>\nStapp riding the sled during one of these experiments.)<\/p>\n<p> In a famous error, on the first launch of a new, higher acceleration<br \/>\nversion of the sled, <em>all<\/em> of the accelerometers on the sled were<br \/>\nwired <em>backwards<\/em>, meaning that the experiment provided no information &#8211; but Stapp walked away with broken ribs and a detached retina.<\/p>\n<p> Someone &#8211; accounts differ as to whether it was Murphy, Stapp, or someone else<br \/>\n&#8211; who was talking about the technician who set up the accelerometers, said,<br \/>\nroughly, &#8220;If there&#8217;s more than one way to do it, and one of them will cause a<br \/>\ndisaster, that&#8217;s the one that that guy will choose.&#8221; It&#8217;s most likely Stapp who<br \/>\nrestated this as a general principle, and made it into a guiding principle in the<br \/>\ndesign of their later experiments and test apparatuses. Whoever said it first,<br \/>\nStapp is clearly the one who popularized it: in press conferences, he told people<br \/>\nthat the reason that there were so few serious injuries in their work, despite its<br \/>\nimmense danger, was because &#8220;they always took Murphy&#8217;s law into<br \/>\nconsideration.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p> What I like about the real Murphy&#8217;s law in contrast to the popular one<br \/>\nis where it assigns the blame. The popular Murphy&#8217;s law basically says that<br \/>\nthe universe itself is pathological &#8211; that it&#8217;s just the way the world works. The real Murphy&#8217;s law places the blame where it really belongs: given the opporunity, <em>people<\/em> will find a wind to screw things up.<\/p>\n<p> Stapp later came up with another law, which is known as Stapp&#8217;s law, which makes that point even clearer: &#8220;The universal aptitude for ineptitude makes any human accomplishment an incredible miracle.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I know better than to attempt to write an april fools day post that really tries to fool anyone. I&#8217;m not a good enough writer to carry that kind of thing off in a genuinely amusing way. On the other hand, I love april fools day pranks, and I generally like the silly mood of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-621","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chatter"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4lzZS-a1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/621","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=621"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/621\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=621"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=621"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.goodmath.org\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=621"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}